TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89eb…cff9backed NIP66c39,970$26,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,504.2636450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Gentle Mates35c25,000$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,75041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates29c11,315$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.562,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NIP66c6,226$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.1792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gentle Mates31c5,217$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.31,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP74c4,331$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.1645357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gentle Mates18c4,154$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.021,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed NIP71c4,085$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.5125845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NIP63c3,908$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.0633359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed NIP64c3,750$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35049251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Gentle Mates36c3,365$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9840341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Gentle Mates36c3,200$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.981,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Gentle Mates36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08029948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08096945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked NIP64c2,897$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates20c2,738$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.796,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe96a…b2dbbacked NIP64c2,532$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafb…0bfcbacked NIP64c2,382$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gentle Mates32c2,335$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6982142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Gentle Mates37c2,130$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP63c1,927$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.1236753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates32c1,749$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.955,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Gentle Mates37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP65c1,611$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.761,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates36c1,441$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.954,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Gentle Mates36c1,390$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Gentle Mates36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015658.3%91 W · 65 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates29c1,299$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.683,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked Gentle Mates6c1,234$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.377737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked NIP64c1,180$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.822266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Gentle Mates37c1,083$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6552936.3%192 W · 337 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Gentle Mates36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Gentle Mates34c987.1$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.494436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Gentle Mates27c882.4$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.043,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Gentle Mates15c821.26$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8223129%67 W · 164 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked NIP69c815.67$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8649245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Gentle Mates35c799.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9957740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed NIP76c772.99$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18743175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed NIP70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Gentle Mates43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed NIP67c742.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6113855.1%76 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Gentle Mates35c730.87$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8244747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Gentle Mates36c681.76$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4397240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed NIP70c673.31$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9910359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates36c658.94$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.442,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Gentle Mates29c625.51$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.922,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed NIP64c520$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.29360.2%56 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed NIP70c493.58$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.238636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked NIP65c471.21$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5236540%146 W · 219 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…1a1cbacked NIP64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked Gentle Mates34c468$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.122147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Gentle Mates15c440$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Gentle Mates37c435.14$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Gentle Mates33c422.45$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.418625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Gentle Mates33c366.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7539342.5%167 W · 226 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Gentle Mates11c355.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b59…dd43backed Gentle Mates10c351.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.491526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NIP58c350.65$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2758343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Gentle Mates42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14048654.5%265 W · 221 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Gentle Mates38c329.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0740839.2%160 W · 248 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed Gentle Mates36c322.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1167834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed NIP64c318.1$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.526238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed NIP64c310.94$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9422460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed NIP64c305.19$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.872853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Gentle Mates36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817441.4%72 W · 102 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gentle Mates36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…809bbacked NIP69c290.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Gentle Mates35c287.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031843.1%137 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed NIP73c281.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1424349%119 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Gentle Mates36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Gentle Mates36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gentle Mates24c275.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0976933.8%260 W · 509 L-48.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Gentle Mates15c270.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5915046%69 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Gentle Mates19c262.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9715335.9%55 W · 98 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Gentle Mates32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed NIP60c247.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.99251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP71c240.56$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.413,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Gentle Mates32c237.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7545544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed NIP64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3825352.6%133 W · 120 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Gentle Mates36c230.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8316336.2%59 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Gentle Mates30c230$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.939245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Gentle Mates31c226.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1734626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked NIP55c226.07$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7375356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Gentle Mates17c226.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.252,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed NIP64c207.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.822567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…11a5backed NIP64c203.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.133148.4%15 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Gentle Mates15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Gentle Mates37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7429731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates24c192.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.674,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Gentle Mates18c189.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5642854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked NIP64c180$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates30c175.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6587847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP74c173.79$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5173553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Gentle Mates14c169.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2466034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Gentle Mates15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked NIP63c160$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f44…e1f9backed NIP63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed NIP64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2532561.5%200 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed NIP64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2515966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.