CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985a591645f134a1a39d353c91bd70ce93d484fd8766893c2e0e84196d5f9554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked NIP | 45c | 3,219$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.83 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 1,506$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 819.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 40c | 473.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.48 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates | 4c | 270.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 198.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 193$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 171.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 164.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 40c | 88.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 66.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 59.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 55.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 30.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.