CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2522c3113503fa3310842e464c988b3ee1791790d74e3bbf01ba7abeb25c80f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 24c | 7,766$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.06 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Astralis | 38c | 5,229$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 47c | 4,496$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.33 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked paiN | 51c | 2,205$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.72 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 53c | 2,202$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.34 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Astralis | 51c | 2,068$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.9 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 54c | 2,043$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 19c | 1,627$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 19c | 1,573$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 38c | 1,510$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 37c | 1,497$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.29 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked paiN | 49c | 1,349$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.75 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed paiN | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis | 51c | 978.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.22 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 59c | 897$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked paiN | 49c | 703.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Astralis | 53c | 700.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.85 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 25c | 646.19$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Astralis | 51c | 631.89$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Astralis | 57c | 614.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.33 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 60c | 590$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Astralis | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed Astralis | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Astralis | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…5c0abacked Astralis | 77c | 470$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 13c | 460.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…7584backed paiN | 48c | 296.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked paiN | 40c | 293.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Astralis | 59c | 217.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed paiN | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed paiN | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed paiN | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed paiN | 57c | 176.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Astralis | 55c | 145.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Astralis | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed paiN | 59c | 127.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Astralis | 54c | 112.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Astralis | 40c | 112.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Astralis | 70c | 104.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed paiN | 50c | 102.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN | 48c | 98.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked paiN | 45c | 87.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed paiN | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Astralis | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked paiN | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…77e4backed Astralis | 59c | 65.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed paiN | 50c | 60.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…af12backed Astralis | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked paiN | 47c | 55.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Astralis | 51c | 54.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 159 | 58.5%93 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Astralis | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…0f6cbacked paiN | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed paiN | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis | 70c | 48.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 29c | 46.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN | 31c | 42.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked paiN | 55c | 41.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b8f4backed Astralis | 46c | 40.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…6b59backed paiN | 65c | 40.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…9836backed paiN | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…5ddbbacked Astralis | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Astralis | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed paiN | 46c | 27.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Astralis | 77c | 27.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…1376backed paiN | 49c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…de91backed Astralis | 54c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…922ebacked paiN | 49c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Astralis | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 58c | 17.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed paiN | 64c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.