Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc8f6eb2f3a87fb8e2df5e7e1068bfcbc4bc025f6b3f8e781fece7a63402b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Zero Tenacity, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 6,389$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.45 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 6,170$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.56 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked Zero Tenacity | 21c | 3,221$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 3,067$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.49 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 2,560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 2,466$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.87 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 871.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 607$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 520.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 510$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 482.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 442.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 392.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.21 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 322.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…bdaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 310.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 307.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 276.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 273.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 249.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 242.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 207.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 178$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 170$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 157.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 124.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 115.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 104.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 81.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 77.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 77.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 77.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 60.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.