Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d185b240d4493281acca7d75ffb748a0db3435a6220ad4f808bd58a6dcc98a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x988d…9899backed Zena Esports | 13c | 10,392$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.81 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Zena Esports | 14c | 7,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Zena Esports | 13c | 2,785$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.87 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Zena Esports | 1c | 2,687$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…be7ebacked Zena Esports | 12c | 2,010$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Zena Esports | 13c | 1,841$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.37 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zena Esports | 16c | 1,750$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…3358backed Zena Esports | 12c | 1,560$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…f3e7backed Zena Esports | 12c | 1,530$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…5fb2backed Zena Esports | 12c | 1,526$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Zena Esports | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Zena Esports | 13c | 1,378$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…c482backed Zena Esports | 13c | 1,288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Zena Esports | 13c | 1,239$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Zena Esports | 14c | 1,225$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zena Esports | 13c | 1,190$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Zena Esports | 16c | 1,029$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Zena Esports | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Zena Esports | 13c | 998.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Zena Esports | 8c | 814.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Zena Esports | 13c | 451.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zena Esports | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Zena Esports | 13c | 380.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…0297backed Zena Esports | 3c | 349.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Zena Esports | 11c | 319.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Zena Esports | 14c | 295.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Zena Esports | 17c | 275.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Zena Esports | 14c | 216.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Zena Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Zena Esports | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Zena Esports | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Zena Esports | 17c | 116.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Zena Esports | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Zena Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Zena Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.