Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac2214b5dcacfe107c134f0dc3d91ebc1fb5a97da7e7e6d9a548fe48623c2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 5,223$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Invictus Gaming | 52c | 4,361$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.59 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 4,084$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.68 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 3,208$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.9 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e4…0962backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 2,291$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Invictus Gaming | 52c | 2,287$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 1,087$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 1,079$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.25 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Invictus Gaming | 51c | 1,036$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 985.67$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…d278backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 852.83$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 760.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.38 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…c689backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 726.41$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…4f43backed Invictus Gaming | 53c | 711.32$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Invictus Gaming | 54c | 635.54$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 626.93$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 533.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.33 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 408.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Invictus Gaming | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 348.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 189$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 163.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Invictus Gaming | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Invictus Gaming | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 84.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 60.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9898backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…2855backed Invictus Gaming | 30c | 37.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Invictus Gaming | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 26.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Invictus Gaming | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Invictus Gaming | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…b7c1backed Invictus Gaming | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.