TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Alejandro Tabilo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darderiof Darderi, Tabilo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Darderi40c4,221$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.62,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Darderi40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.997736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Tabilo61c1,884$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.1118237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Tabilo60c1,883$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9913852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tabilo60c1,704$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Darderi5c1,581$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.362,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Darderi24c1,104$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.11,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darderi62c1,080$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.738,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tabilo75c1,069$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.572,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Tabilo60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Darderi42c924.5$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.661,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tabilo79c823.48$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Darderi40c749.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.7724229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tabilo18c699.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2827627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Darderi31c649.18$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.167,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tabilo37c348.17$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.812,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Tabilo61c325.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Tabilo20c319.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8525237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Tabilo60c317.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19226158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5d…526fbacked Tabilo65c316.22$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Darderi41c280.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7228443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Darderi40c277.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.663351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Darderi40c256.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.954748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tabilo52c240.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.828139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Darderi44c226.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2737444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0750…9db6backed Darderi41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Darderi19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16231819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Darderi39c183.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9718241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Tabilo49c180$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.768430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Tabilo59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…9eb5backed Tabilo60c167.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Darderi40c167.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.513138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Darderi39c159$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9918548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Darderi42c152$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5676146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Darderi15c150.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.392,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Tabilo60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Tabilo58c140$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.625743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Tabilo50c130.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0416150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Darderi38c127.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Tabilo54c120.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6222236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d3a…bfb7backed Tabilo60c111.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Darderi42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.813762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Tabilo59c107.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Tabilo59c101.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Darderi19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Tabilo61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi39c98.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Tabilo61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Darderi41c95.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.617432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Tabilo47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.945234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Tabilo60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Tabilo60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Tabilo61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013461.9%83 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Darderi37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0824826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8b…425cbacked Tabilo80c67.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Tabilo60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010863.9%69 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Tabilo61c63.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4112154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Tabilo60c56.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Tabilo80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406445.3%29 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Tabilo61c49.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.310843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Tabilo39c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8931434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Darderi41c48.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a0…6906backed Darderi42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Darderi44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tabilo59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb02…b642backed Tabilo60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246374.6%47 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Tabilo58c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1911650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Darderi44c38.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.523647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Tabilo60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Darderi52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.812664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Tabilo60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206173.8%45 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Tabilo60c32.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.436464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Darderi43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb203…8e45backed Tabilo51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Tabilo60c25.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Tabilo60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4883…98abbacked Tabilo80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203271.9%23 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e04…54afbacked Tabilo60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Darderi66c23.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8613834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…7426backed Tabilo60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213864.5%89 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5574…8587backed Tabilo60c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.