TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x241f…ef50backed Under46c70,030$32,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,811.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…4252backed Over54c70,000$37,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,800333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c43,801$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,900.263641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c39,298$19,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,649.132951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c24,810$11,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,805.651,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c22,731$11,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,360.983839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over52c19,233$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c18,531$8,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,986.5558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c13,903$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,368.721,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over55c11,416$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,227.1612344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over0c10,510$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over51c10,055$5,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over65c7,704$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,200$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1006643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over15c5,960$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.486259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c5,876$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.5726645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Over54c4,628$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over76c3,980$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c3,734$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8672552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under59c2,516$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.6616036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c2,264$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.653754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under44c2,054$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.7310748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c2,021$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8512249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under46c2,002$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.862240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Over51c1,987$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over68c1,945$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.086858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over56c1,883$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Over55c1,671$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c1,563$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.2629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,423$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.8239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Under50c1,370$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c1,352$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.7729746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under45c1,178$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.7315032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over52c1,055$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.993161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under49c989.61$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.76451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over57c888.47$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over26c862.88$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Under7c825.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+393.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under61c807.01$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.733050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Over74c801.53$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over71c800$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5651070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c788.21$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.1159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c709.33$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over55c707.27$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c609.09$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3357065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c601$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5416144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32460%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec30…56dabacked Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c599.99$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.996246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under39c562.61$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…18dcbacked Over49c555.33$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.752035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under25c550$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4133831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c549.92$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over37c537.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.167238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under25c527.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c503.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Under3c500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852817.9%5 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over59c475.77$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.711457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over77c449.31$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over62c437.47$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.231662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb06…9959backed Over51c435.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over49c420.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.994542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fd…db80backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…90ddbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over54c368.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over51c362.75$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c357.56$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7142438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over56c357.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.981984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over53c355$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Over52c351.92$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under41c350$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.523947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c337.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8960748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over61c326.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under23c324$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.487625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over49c300.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.485036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b1…5168backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6133…ece3backed Under46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.