Champions League · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae35a57c7ab892ad0eb6b8547f58ba282b68188e65b71d55bd109ef5324bea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmundof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 62c | 20,975$12,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,989.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atalanta BC | 68c | 19,999$13,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,598.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…b111backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 18,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…204ebacked Atalanta BC | 77c | 17,994$13,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,855.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Atalanta BC | 27c | 12,984$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.55 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 9,979$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.16 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Atalanta BC | 76c | 6,654$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.05 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 31c | 2,459$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.21 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 2,121$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 819.23$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Atalanta BC | 21c | 667.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 629$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 512.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…45bbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…5540backed Atalanta BC | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 72c | 181.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 176$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 32c | 150.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Atalanta BC | 76c | 135$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 116$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atalanta BC | 21c | 108.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atalanta BC | 76c | 107.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 50c | 98.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…3d6cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 22c | 83.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Atalanta BC | 32c | 67.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atalanta BC | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Atalanta BC | 78c | 38.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Atalanta BC | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 57c | 26.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Atalanta BC | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Atalanta BC | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.