NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf10cd2605044a96b7992570077ed8b0b0ea2af253a754badbfef01d92b65fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 55c | 50,000$27,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,509.89 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…3fd2backed Over | 49c | 27,000$13,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,770 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…5ba7backed Under | 51c | 27,000$13,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 19,515$10,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,828.7 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 19,148$8,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,616.44 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 55c | 16,502$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,416.63 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 14,399$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.94 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 1c | 8,688$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 8,561$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Under | 47c | 4,415$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.5 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 3,308$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 3,196$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 2,250$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.55 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…0fb5backed Under | 37c | 1,878$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 1,855$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.75 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 56c | 1,246$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.75 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…bb0bbacked Under | 1c | 1,021$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 931.25$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Under | 45c | 860$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 792$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 44c | 768.18$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 59c | 644.37$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 47c | 509.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Under | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 47c | 254.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 51c | 221.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…2847backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 202.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 191.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 65c | 188.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 152.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Under | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 55c | 99.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 32c | 94.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e4…3034backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 89.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 82.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 55c | 70.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 66.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Under | 46c | 64.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 56.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Under | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…37b2backed Under | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked Under | 52c | 46.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 61c | 21.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 64c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…0993backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…6b02backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.