La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eac7d3fafccf35fd4674970e2ef7d14389f1aa10bc7f98159d3853e8e42cf6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,999.97 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 75c | 25,003$18,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,752.47 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 9,566$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.14 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 53c | 7,791$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.07 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 19c | 7,481$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,382$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.63 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 29c | 1,012$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 53c | 654.66$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 347.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 10c | 201.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…8dbcbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 37c | 186.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked No | 40c | 176.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 150.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…7a2bbacked Yes | 74c | 131.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c0…72d3backed Yes | 43c | 113.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 24c | 89.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 55c | 82.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 72.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 45c | 46.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 45c | 42.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Yes | 53c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 33c | 34.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 79c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 55c | 19.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.