TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes49c116,175$56,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,847.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c60,515$30,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,652.3562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c33,937$15,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,669.721,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No51c29,905$15,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,662.0123151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No50c14,130$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,044.54252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No50c11,720$5,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,860.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0605538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No49c9,940$4,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.7510752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No51c9,803$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.476454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9202365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c7,357$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.0335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Yes52c4,360$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c4,287$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9751,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c4,137$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.4971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No51c3,066$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.0819055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No46c2,871$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.4212147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes46c2,170$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.689348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes55c1,833$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No51c1,495$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.559140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c1,394$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes50c1,377$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.59858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.0811355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes48c1,300$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.995060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed No46c1,249$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes12c1,241$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No51c1,142$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.8433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No45c1,029$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.8424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.241376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.26060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c970$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40811735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No51c784$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.162864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes50c768$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No48c690$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes50c577.77$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.576157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes13c574.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.592528%7 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c556.71$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2607146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c482.35$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No46c472.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No75c430$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.086756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes32c299.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f20…87c9backed No48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes48c239.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes21c223.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes58c221.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1285156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No53c206$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822475%18 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes30c205.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0712343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No70c182.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No51c177.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6512339.8%49 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed No50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes28c119.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3317756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.333265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.338263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No51c117$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3313655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes47c106.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.776553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No50c106.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes53c92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7680%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes17c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.360%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes49c81.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.055851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.225364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.228653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.223253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.229954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.222657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes50c75.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.966854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No50c69.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No50c68.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.923562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed No50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked Yes52c61.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.427163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked No80c56.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84e…f10abacked Yes54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.