Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981cee2a90972b11a2646166b2b3f22d05ebf67d126d0308c24e36a3819706e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,992$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.15 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 2,048$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.6 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,654$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.82 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 71c | 349.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 242.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 74c | 208.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 92.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 75.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 72c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.