Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Ningbo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71731d16a6d7ac7bb561647fe84decc4e13493d2c2fb459a27847aa7fdd56fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Ningbo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ningbo Rockets | 1c | 3,720$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks | 71c | 3,061$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.25 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Ningbo Rockets | 28c | 2,938$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ningbo Rockets | 36c | 1,500$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.9 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Beijing Ducks | 63c | 1,017$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ningbo Rockets | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Beijing Ducks | 64c | 478.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Ducks | 72c | 447.02$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Beijing Ducks | 63c | 390$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ningbo Rockets | 23c | 207.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Ningbo Rockets | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Ningbo Rockets | 41c | 191.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Ducks | 60c | 180.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 32c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ningbo Rockets | 10c | 136.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ningbo Rockets | 23c | 86.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ningbo Rockets | 39c | 78.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Ningbo Rockets | 41c | 75.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…807abacked Ningbo Rockets | 38c | 58.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…41afbacked Ningbo Rockets | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed Ningbo Rockets | 23c | 49.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 45.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Ningbo Rockets | 37c | 43.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Ningbo Rockets | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Beijing Ducks | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Beijing Ducks | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.