Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ff8e0ce2fc26642dd4294f297512fa835d9bd3cb390977ab990c73d80ecf6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf65c…612bbacked No | 0c | 14,499$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 29c | 3,431$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 47c | 2,611$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.02 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,342$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.44 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 79c | 1,858$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 52c | 1,181$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.82 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 77c | 1,082$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 871.77$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 719.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 26c | 579.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 545.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…b88fbacked No | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 69c | 484.95$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 425.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.91 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 48c | 409.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 375.59$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…f2d4backed Yes | 30c | 367.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked No | 76c | 366.31$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 47c | 348.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.56 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 25c | 317.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 24c | 309.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.65 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 25c | 265.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 9c | 257.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 56c | 250.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…4a8bbacked No | 76c | 241.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 236.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 41c | 231$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 229.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 31c | 229.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 43c | 226.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 27c | 206.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…dc70backed No | 10c | 195.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 25c | 193.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 56c | 192.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No | 75c | 188.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 187.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 50c | 175.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 30c | 168.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 15c | 165.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 165.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 25c | 156.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…ac65backed Yes | 32c | 156.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 25c | 136.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed No | 79c | 127.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…0837backed No | 79c | 126.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 26c | 115.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 27c | 109.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 27c | 109.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…f224backed Yes | 26c | 107.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 36c | 105.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 48c | 103.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 24c | 103$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 33c | 98.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 33c | 93.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 28c | 88.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 41c | 88.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 30c | 84.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 45c | 84.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 25c | 78.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 32c | 77.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…8e5ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 61c | 74.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 17c | 72.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked No | 26c | 71.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed No | 68c | 69.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed No | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 23c | 68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes | 30c | 67.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…ef19backed Yes | 75c | 66.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…e97abacked No | 75c | 65.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 57c | 64.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed Yes | 23c | 64.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 80c | 62.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…566ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 27c | 61.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…f2dcbacked No | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 29c | 60.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 25c | 59.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 73c | 59.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…3bb3backed Yes | 57c | 58.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 34c | 56.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked Yes | 50c | 56.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…747bbacked Yes | 27c | 56.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +208%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 25c | 54.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…ada6backed Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…b3a5backed Yes | 26c | 52.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 28c | 52.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 53c | 52.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.