Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930a70f42bda4c008b3de20a196a3732936597e2fade2462a62a2dd53b3cca47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1757…74e3backed Yes | 10c | 1,966$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 19c | 1,280$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 34c | 749.42$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 599.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 18c | 545.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 520.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed No | 78c | 520.74$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 4c | 473.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 67c | 440.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 36c | 430.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 68c | 403.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 45c | 387.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 376.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed No | 55c | 361.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.27 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 62c | 348.94$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 348$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 343.26$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 48c | 339.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 59c | 338.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 77c | 330.31$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 66c | 319.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 310.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 59c | 309.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 308.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 33c | 296.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 57c | 278.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 67c | 274.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 47c | 253.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 44c | 252$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…a682backed Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 63c | 240.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 238.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes | 36c | 231.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 226.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 221.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 62c | 220.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 65c | 214.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 60c | 211.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 39c | 206.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…9b79backed No | 37c | 203.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 59c | 203.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…b88fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 16c | 182.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 35c | 181.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 64c | 156.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Yes | 61c | 141.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 141.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…ac65backed Yes | 59c | 134.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 54c | 130.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b59abacked Yes | 63c | 129.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 53c | 129.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 76c | 123.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 118.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 117.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 114.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 47c | 112.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 45c | 109.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 44c | 108.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…4ad6backed No | 34c | 105.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 39c | 101.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 37c | 100.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 49c | 99.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 51c | 94.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 27c | 94.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 34c | 91.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…8e5ebacked Yes | 13c | 89.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 76c | 88.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…ca06backed No | 45c | 88.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…318dbacked Yes | 46c | 87.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 86.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 82.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…230ebacked Yes | 55c | 81.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 40c | 80.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 55c | 79.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 39c | 77.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…371abacked Yes | 38c | 74.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 48c | 74.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 48c | 71.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 35c | 70.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…eabbbacked Yes | 22c | 65.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 239 | 23.4%56 W · 183 L | -17.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 39c | 64.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 62c | 64.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…2c66backed Yes | 38c | 62.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 55c | 60.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…85e9backed No | 44c | 57.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 32c | 56.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.