Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x045514807ddd7217654b85d3c1fb57755ef0208573dead989ef6769f9e2b12c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 0c | 18,672$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,630$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,477$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.31 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,932$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 75c | 1,023$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 16c | 1,014$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 29c | 980.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…6291backed Yes | 42c | 896.71$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 28c | 795.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 9c | 759.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 26c | 668.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…2309backed Yes | 44c | 650.6$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 23c | 595.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 34c | 431.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b76dbacked Yes | 35c | 418.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 39c | 374.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 23c | 372.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 357.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 35c | 346.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 60c | 340.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 340.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745d…bd75backed Yes | 31c | 307.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 30c | 307.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 297.44$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 296.35$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 288.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 34c | 273.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 34c | 272.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 41c | 259.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 217.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…06bebacked Yes | 35c | 214.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…f677backed No | 72c | 210.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 199.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed Yes | 64c | 193.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed No | 77c | 181.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 34c | 168.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 14c | 159.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 60c | 157.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 75c | 144.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 69c | 139.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 71c | 136.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 76c | 136.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 135.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 135.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 57c | 134.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 35c | 130.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked No | 73c | 125.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 123.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 46c | 123.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 29c | 118.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 115.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 47c | 113.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 113.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 111.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 110.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 26c | 109.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 57c | 108.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…ab5fbacked Yes | 67c | 107.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…fa6abacked Yes | 40c | 107.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 30c | 107.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 67c | 107.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 106.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 30c | 105.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 102.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 44c | 98.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…05a5backed Yes | 65c | 98.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed No | 65c | 96.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 45c | 94.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 33c | 93.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 92.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 91.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 46c | 89.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 37c | 89.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 40c | 89.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…337fbacked Yes | 35c | 86.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…ad0dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 66c | 85.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 74c | 85.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Yes | 26c | 84.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 25c | 84.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed No | 57c | 83.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 22c | 82.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 82.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 39c | 79.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 76.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 76.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed Yes | 33c | 76.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…5309backed Yes | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 66c | 73.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…634cbacked Yes | 66c | 72.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 65c | 71.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 28c | 70.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 45c | 69.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 69.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.