Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25f1b257981b2bb20d020fcd9b299afd8c9372b0ecbddd03f42e89f9941721f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 5,378$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.95 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed Yes | 21c | 1,473$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.82 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 919.2$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 17c | 916.19$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 77c | 829.49$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 14c | 751.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 12c | 727.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 80c | 696.92$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 8c | 651.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 15c | 573.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 74c | 569.09$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 70c | 561.62$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 466.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…c072backed Yes | 19c | 457.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…e736backed Yes | 22c | 451.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 427.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 80c | 425.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 31c | 420.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 78c | 411.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 18c | 406.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 9c | 386.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 30c | 368.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 11c | 361.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…bf2abacked No | 74c | 331.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 303.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 34c | 277.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 7c | 277.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 271.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 252.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed No | 78c | 249.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 24c | 228.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 19c | 217.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked Yes | 8c | 215.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 16c | 211.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 27c | 211.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 25c | 205.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 13c | 204.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…0744backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 2%1 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 187.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 8c | 183.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked No | 74c | 178.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 177.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 20c | 161.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 46c | 158.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 14c | 158.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 153.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 18c | 152.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…494cbacked Yes | 27c | 151.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 67c | 148.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…0927backed No | 79c | 147.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 21c | 144.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 25c | 143.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 27c | 142.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…f1dbbacked Yes | 26c | 142.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 17c | 142.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 27c | 139.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 15c | 135.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…2838backed Yes | 17c | 133.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed No | 77c | 127.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 22c | 126.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fa1dbacked Yes | 13c | 125.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 28c | 124.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 79c | 121.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 76c | 118.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 115.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked No | 78c | 114.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 32c | 113.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b2…cf28backed No | 75c | 112.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 25c | 105.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 104.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…edefbacked Yes | 24c | 102.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe8…55cabacked Yes | 15c | 98.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…2309backed Yes | 19c | 94.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 11c | 94.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 11c | 94.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 26c | 93.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…b7e0backed Yes | 32c | 92.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 29c | 89.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 34c | 81.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed No | 80c | 81.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 20c | 76.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 19c | 74.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 69c | 71.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 74c | 68.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…115fbacked No | 72c | 68.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…b8eabacked No | 70c | 68.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 67.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Yes | 32c | 67.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 22c | 67.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 32c | 65.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 24c | 60.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.