Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3023392939c37f6e90181eabfc6b897a58223cad94bb2d52266a5e05740a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,676$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.06 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 77c | 877.08$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 68c | 621.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 15c | 544.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 42c | 475.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 15c | 456.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 437.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 411.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 11c | 406.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 29c | 401.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 366.18$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 34c | 340.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 337.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 31c | 294.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…e736backed Yes | 34c | 261.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 77c | 250.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 59c | 245.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…5c07backed No | 64c | 214.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 49c | 208.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 189.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 37c | 183.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 61c | 148.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 48c | 138.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 63c | 136.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 129.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 126.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 37c | 126.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 120.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 119.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 55c | 115.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 63c | 115.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…108abacked Yes | 42c | 112.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 36c | 106.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 43c | 98.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 40c | 98.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 74c | 97.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 32c | 96.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 37c | 93.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked No | 22c | 90.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 39c | 90.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 77c | 87.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 32c | 85.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 18c | 82.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…634cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 78.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 34c | 77.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05a…d78fbacked No | 68c | 74.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 126 | 70.6%89 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 56c | 73.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…6f96backed No | 68c | 73.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 123 | 74%91 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 71c | 72.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 49c | 71.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 69.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 49c | 69.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 69.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 24c | 68.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 67.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…8f04backed Yes | 29c | 67.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 63c | 64.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 46c | 64.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 61.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 32c | 61.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 37c | 61.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 62c | 61.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…5309backed Yes | 52c | 60.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…eed8backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 60c | 58.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 42c | 57.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Yes | 71c | 55.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 54.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…000abacked No | 80c | 52.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…cc63backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes | 47c | 49.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 29c | 48.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…af40backed Yes | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 32c | 46.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 42c | 45.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 29c | 44.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…edefbacked Yes | 37c | 44.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 34c | 44.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 26c | 42.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…8ae7backed No | 64c | 41.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 47c | 41.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed Yes | 27c | 39.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 76c | 39.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 38c | 39.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 65c | 39.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…c2c4backed Yes | 36c | 38.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 45c | 37.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 59c | 37.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 38c | 36.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.