Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3c409662d31a5e75225d97160776cf564afe3e24446a6f0b71da4796537950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccfa…9600backed Yes | 0c | 12,423$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…0ab4backed Yes | 1c | 8,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 22c | 5,562$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.78 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 11c | 4,989$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.23 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…919abacked Yes | 3c | 3,271$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…20afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,790$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 37c | 2,600$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 32c | 1,625$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.11 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,489$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 69c | 1,401$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.92 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…9578backed No | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 21c | 1,344$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.16 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…e502backed Yes | 23c | 1,099$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…6e1ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,086$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 79c | 944.68$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.67 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked No | 12c | 911.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.07 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Yes | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 21c | 865.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.04 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 44c | 838.87$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 24c | 837.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.64 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 806.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +233%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…1957backed Yes | 60c | 790$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 74c | 732.42$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.03 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 2c | 699.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked No | 15c | 665.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 76c | 635.02$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed Yes | 18c | 597.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 57c | 583.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 28c | 493.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 460.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed No | 51c | 447.12$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.74 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 22c | 446.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.61 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Yes | 69c | 424.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…e521backed Yes | 5c | 419.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 64c | 401.42$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…5a9dbacked Yes | 8c | 389.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…12efbacked Yes | 61c | 380.58$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 23c | 379.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 44c | 362.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 13c | 351.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked No | 59c | 350.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 74c | 341.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed No | 57c | 336.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 324.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 320.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 33c | 303.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed No | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 59c | 289.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…c4febacked Yes | 4c | 283.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 8c | 281.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.58 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes | 71c | 272.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 19c | 269.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793b…76efbacked No | 16c | 262.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed No | 75c | 254.21$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 39c | 246.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 245.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 33c | 232.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked No | 7c | 231.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 75c | 230.23$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 40c | 212.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 48c | 209.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 16c | 208.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 9c | 203.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 37c | 203.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed No | 35c | 195.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 195.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d5…55f7backed Yes | 24c | 189.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…2f75backed No | 15c | 183$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf052…0ce7backed Yes | 77c | 176.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 166$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…81f5backed No | 57c | 164.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 62c | 162.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 161.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 15c | 157.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 157.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…0e12backed Yes | 77c | 157.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…435cbacked No | 17c | 156.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 62c | 155.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 7c | 153.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…9668backed Yes | 68c | 140.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 32c | 139.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed No | 15c | 137.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 123 | 63.4%78 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed No | 36c | 131.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…b8eabacked No | 50c | 129.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 61c | 126.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 38c | 126.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb33a…ce7dbacked Yes | 11c | 113.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 18c | 113.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 78c | 112.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 33c | 111.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 69c | 111.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…2a0dbacked No | 16c | 110.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 25c | 107.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…affabacked No | 17c | 104.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed No | 18c | 102$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 49c | 100.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.