Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd29c9dbaceaca242330e97377f320013d908bb48650da9c0359100d7f8a32fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb868…20afbacked No | 0c | 30,355$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…9600backed No | 0c | 19,808$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 14c | 8,633$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.98 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…4127backed Yes | 76c | 2,788$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 2c | 1,973$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 42c | 1,727$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.15 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,228$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.14 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed No | 79c | 1,180$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.19 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…689ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,159$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 37c | 1,097$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.35 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 72c | 1,079$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 12c | 981.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.54 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 10c | 907.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.81 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Yes | 26c | 885.52$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 13c | 869.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.28 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 66c | 799.94$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 779.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 754.69$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed Yes | 15c | 732.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…c4a1backed Yes | 65c | 697.84$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 78c | 670.06$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…ad0dbacked Yes | 14c | 597.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 9c | 517.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 23c | 466.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…5a9dbacked No | 7c | 437.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Yes | 10c | 376.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.58 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 373.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked Yes | 11c | 371.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 19c | 371.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 11c | 340.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.73 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 52c | 340.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 18c | 331.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.79 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 11c | 299.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 10c | 293.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 48c | 276.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 261.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 256.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…63f0backed Yes | 13c | 245.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 7c | 242.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 33c | 239.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 21c | 235.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 229.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 62c | 220.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…ed3fbacked Yes | 13c | 220.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 10c | 216.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 10c | 201.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 199.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 16c | 184.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…79febacked Yes | 32c | 178.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 35c | 176.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 11c | 165.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed No | 15c | 162.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 10c | 162.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 15c | 159.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 8c | 151.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 8c | 148.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 12c | 147.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 9c | 145.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 141.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 15c | 133.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 76c | 132.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 14c | 132.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…5e59backed Yes | 29c | 130.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 129.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 8c | 125.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 78c | 125.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 12c | 118.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 78c | 115.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…8b36backed Yes | 11c | 115.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 15c | 113.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 47c | 111.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 13c | 111.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 13c | 107.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 58c | 105.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…48c5backed Yes | 32c | 103.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 39c | 101.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 39c | 100.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 13c | 100.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…2c54backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 13c | 99.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…0512backed Yes | 73c | 92.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 12c | 91.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…9773backed No | 76c | 90.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 55c | 86.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…5a0abacked Yes | 13c | 86.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 12c | 85.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…e856backed Yes | 16c | 81.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…2d3dbacked Yes | 68c | 77.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…c2d1backed No | 63c | 76.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…9347backed Yes | 64c | 76.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked No | 68c | 76.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked No | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed No | 58c | 70.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.