NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41872158f0c3345b750b6ef617fc7a6ca545835c1b118bff84db09f19c4baee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 7,021$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 5,202$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 59c | 4,780$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.04 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 4,450$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 3,787$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…c22bbacked Under | 52c | 3,531$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 3,487$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 58c | 3,245$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 2,566$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8ce5backed Under | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 52c | 1,921$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…4eebbacked Over | 48c | 1,404$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 53c | 1,327$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.31 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 54c | 1,253$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.92 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…43aabacked Over | 48c | 1,201$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,015$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.38 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…1747backed Over | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…d3a8backed Over | 48c | 899$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2de…e005backed Over | 48c | 822$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 42c | 732.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 54c | 600$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 46c | 503.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 430$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 54c | 403.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 245$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 234.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f50…5873backed Over | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…8d0abacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…2d4cbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 47c | 184$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 159$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…9cc3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 46c | 73.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 44c | 73.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 42c | 71.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Under | 58c | 64.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 60.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 54c | 45.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 39.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Under | 56c | 38.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Over | 43c | 33.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 43c | 28.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 58c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5this page
- Clippers vs. RaptorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.