TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors53c9,042$4,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,771.4836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors50c8,937$4,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers49c8,703$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors56c6,333$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.012,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors56c5,727$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…3c91backed Raptors48c5,015$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1f…ab7bbacked Raptors48c4,140$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8606…831cbacked Raptors48c3,589$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.72650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa722…9a51backed Raptors48c3,202$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86a2…c8f0backed Clippers52c3,054$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d51…f592backed Raptors48c2,860$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clippers47c2,648$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.492,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaa…788bbacked Raptors48c2,508$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors57c2,497$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers43c2,462$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.3476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880f…d5d4backed Raptors48c2,394$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Clippers42c2,296$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.671,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd700…72a4backed Raptors48c2,289$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675b…c9d7backed Clippers52c2,125$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…6706backed Clippers52c2,059$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ceb…d8a6backed Raptors48c2,025$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb79f…3d7fbacked Clippers52c2,013$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Clippers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.994761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa52d…ada2backed Clippers52c1,978$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf028…2336backed Raptors48c1,952$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf597…bcd4backed Raptors48c1,951$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Raptors48c1,932$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Clippers52c1,932$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers49c1,915$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.572,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b74…8f43backed Clippers52c1,879$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors51c1,772$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.161,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…10e8backed Raptors48c1,750$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Raptors48c1,722$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdd…133ebacked Raptors48c1,688$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.24650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdff…9e46backed Raptors48c1,688$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae8…9901backed Raptors48c1,682$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e54…44f0backed Raptors48c1,680$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a54…ddf3backed Raptors48c1,672$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…6744backed Clippers52c1,665$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbd…ac56backed Clippers52c1,663$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b43…2bcebacked Clippers52c1,663$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed3…cd54backed Clippers52c1,662$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.76650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176a…41f1backed Clippers52c1,662$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…a81bbacked Raptors48c1,658$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…d288backed Clippers52c1,657$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…267bbacked Clippers52c1,655$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9d…81c8backed Clippers52c1,652$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb321…ecf0backed Clippers52c1,652$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers29c1,650$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ff…f3f7backed Clippers52c1,645$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd1…5f06backed Clippers52c1,644$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6c…a2bebacked Raptors48c1,643$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…c3aabacked Raptors48c1,643$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…6ef4backed Clippers52c1,642$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3d…a2c1backed Raptors48c1,637$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd2a…716abacked Raptors48c1,635$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8b…e6c6backed Clippers52c1,635$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cb…6c12backed Raptors48c1,632$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1771…ee04backed Clippers52c1,632$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a5…870fbacked Raptors48c1,622$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…8751backed Raptors48c1,612$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x319f…5432backed Clippers52c1,515$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers44c1,500$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors55c1,455$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7898…ef88backed Raptors48c1,431$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb300…7ca8backed Clippers52c1,422$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Raptors59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82638046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7752backed Raptors48c1,372$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c68…5609backed Raptors48c1,356$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.88650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ab…041fbacked Clippers52c1,353$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc919…c851backed Clippers52c1,343$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8263…bc2bbacked Raptors48c1,325$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers51c1,316$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd53…fc2bbacked Raptors48c1,257$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…1ddcbacked Raptors48c1,247$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3315…e722backed Raptors48c1,235$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ca…005abacked Clippers52c1,233$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0730…aaa0backed Raptors48c1,227$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…5e91backed Clippers52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b5…cb54backed Raptors48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe513…9e9dbacked Clippers52c1,156$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed3…5426backed Clippers52c1,133$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…6481backed Clippers52c1,122$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1500…b1b2backed Raptors48c1,102$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26d…9d53backed Clippers52c1,076$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccb…3c7abacked Clippers52c1,067$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0b…b8d2backed Clippers52c1,066$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…0742backed Clippers52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b40…4390backed Clippers52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…2864backed Clippers52c1,046$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1866…7e16backed Clippers52c1,045$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4811…02c3backed Clippers52c1,036$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7746…7912backed Clippers52c1,035$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf9…edd3backed Clippers52c1,025$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…38debacked Clippers52c1,012$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers50c1,003$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb88…7289backed Clippers52c998$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…d878backed Raptors49c990$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Clippers43c962.79$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…0c26backed Clippers52c811$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.