NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb40fdf151ed0d4bcdba14a443cb2a86db0a3a1f1f4f67e92d706e1e3db83d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 48c | 9,755$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 56c | 8,812$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.41 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 46c | 7,662$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Raptors | 61c | 6,532$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.04 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 6,327$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 57c | 5,889$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Clippers | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,707$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 59c | 1,966$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Clippers | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Raptors | 52c | 1,230$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.75 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,220$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Clippers | 40c | 991.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.44 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…8893backed Clippers | 48c | 911$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefc…c1f9backed Clippers | 48c | 895$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 39c | 655$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.55 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Clippers | 48c | 629.31$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.24 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Raptors | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Clippers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Clippers | 13c | 490.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers | 43c | 335$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Raptors | 60c | 332.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…372dbacked Raptors | 52c | 321$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…a562backed Raptors | 52c | 305$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Clippers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…902fbacked Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…59e6backed Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…9c00backed Raptors | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…3ba3backed Raptors | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 52c | 200.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Clippers | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clippers | 43c | 181.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Raptors | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Clippers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Clippers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Clippers | 38c | 99.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Raptors | 60c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Raptors | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Raptors | 57c | 74.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Clippers | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Clippers | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…8219backed Clippers | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Raptors | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 42c | 37.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Raptors | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Clippers | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Clippers | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 61c | 24.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…801cbacked Raptors | 61c | 24.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Clippers | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Raptors | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…baf0backed Raptors | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)this page
- Clippers vs. RaptorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.