NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894e3dba13736f0d4efee1a303e643c0a5be02ca20b9b4dda5d7d2be2c4579e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 10,068$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 10,048$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.66 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 52c | 8,405$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.28 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 8,290$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Under | 48c | 6,930$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.38 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 2,102$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 1,407$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.28 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,303$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.43 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.42 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 33c | 759$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…a4fdbacked Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 49c | 515$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…0317backed Over | 52c | 435.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 383$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.67 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 3c | 333.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 266$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 52c | 238.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 205.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 52c | 141.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Over | 53c | 91.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 56c | 71.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Over | 53c | 67.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Over | 53c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 32.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 55c | 31.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 23.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5this page
- Clippers vs. RaptorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.