TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Over51c9,730$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.1276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c8,311$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c5,295$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.682,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,565$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ca…005abacked Under50c3,085$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c2,915$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.713,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…6481backed Under50c2,831$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…5432backed Under50c2,788$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over45c2,757$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.1633945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under55c2,705$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.511,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb88…7289backed Under50c2,688$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…1747backed Under50c2,577$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under56c2,483$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.2966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb21b…8ce5backed Over50c2,441$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+67.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ab…041fbacked Under50c2,405$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaa…788bbacked Over50c2,122$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880f…d5d4backed Over50c2,010$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…38debacked Under50c1,780$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309e…43aabacked Under50c1,765$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…d288backed Over50c1,763$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…a81bbacked Under50c1,753$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdbd…ac56backed Over50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e54…44f0backed Under50c1,749$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d6c…a2bebacked Under50c1,745$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb321…ecf0backed Over50c1,745$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd2a…716abacked Under50c1,733$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd1…5f06backed Over50c1,722$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99cb…6c12backed Under50c1,686$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae8…9901backed Under50c1,685$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d51…f592backed Over50c1,677$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…ddf3backed Under50c1,675$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed3…cd54backed Over50c1,665$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9d…81c8backed Over50c1,655$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ff…f3f7backed Over50c1,654$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3d…a2c1backed Under50c1,654$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8b…e6c6backed Over50c1,653$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fa…6ef4backed Over50c1,645$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…267bbacked Over50c1,643$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1771…ee04backed Over50c1,635$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdd…133ebacked Under50c1,631$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a5…870fbacked Under50c1,625$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…8751backed Under50c1,615$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32bf…c3aabacked Under50c1,612$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…6744backed Over50c1,590$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over46c1,498$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.423354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5918852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,433$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe513…9e9dbacked Over50c1,424$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed3…5426backed Over50c1,422$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1461740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…d3a8backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf597…bcd4backed Over50c1,193$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd700…72a4backed Over50c1,123$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa722…9a51backed Over50c813$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under55c771.99$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4058…5496backed Over50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under3c678.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under48c623.7$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3817953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…38f6backed Over50c618$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd50c…4c72backed Over50c585$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3830…8fd9backed Over50c455$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c450$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.52,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over52c439.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.987959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa872…d980backed Over50c401$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c400.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.323,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb7…8267backed Over50c371$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under3c346.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under50c346$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee73…c22bbacked Over50c322$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under48c313.73$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.599850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over46c312.14$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8628537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…7dc1backed Under50c310.57$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c282.67$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…a4fdbacked Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.12733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c235.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c222.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc495…d35ebacked Over52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e95…5b00backed Under49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…741ebacked Under49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…6494backed Over52c207$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…0de9backed Over50c203$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611436.8%42 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…df0fbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580f…c80cbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b54…3b6ebacked Over51c186$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.141275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Under50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under7c180.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1324846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e7…1d8bbacked Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c160.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc013…b51dbacked Over50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2de…e005backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe0…3936backed Over50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d02…4eebbacked Over50c141$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.