Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7105dfed2fda413f5a8f0970fba5af77afe29cfe6d30e264cd28d846f032e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Toledo Rockets, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 67c | 2,402$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Toledo Rockets | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Toledo Rockets | 35c | 791.82$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 64c | 402.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 368.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 63c | 228$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 31c | 133.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Toledo Rockets | 36c | 87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Toledo Rockets | 35c | 48.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Toledo Rockets | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Toledo Rockets | 33c | 30.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Toledo Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.