La Liga · resolved market
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5832010a3bf4a95a8e9cbbdfe2a0c6a245dc3f593cdb1e9f9500ff4599719b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf894…8867backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39f…136abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 10c | 500.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 78c | 315.48$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…4fe3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4f…b439backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…1559backed Yes | 11c | 174.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…4e22backed Yes | 11c | 172.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d1fabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed Yes | 8c | 126.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 29c | 103.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…5aa1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…7b03backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 78c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?this page
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?Yes won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.