La Liga · resolved market
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1c7a5e0596ac7122f14b988e73a90edf0548d0e28a6d87fb6f9b0441a2914b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,202$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…4597backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4f…b439backed Yes | 9c | 709.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf894…8867backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…ceb0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 180.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…1fcbbacked Yes | 9c | 173.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d1fabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…293bbacked Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 7c | 144.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6aadbacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…f476backed Yes | 24c | 84.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?this page
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF?Yes won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 3 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 0 Real Madrid CF?No won
- Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Real Madrid CF?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.