TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c92,877$48,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,084.591,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c61,852$29,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,146.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over52c30,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,499.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c21,759$11,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,312.2560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over48c15,555$7,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,088.624554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c15,012$7,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,655.2116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c10,307$5,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,359.8320744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c10,160$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over48c10,144$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.8824053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9929748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c7,292$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,790.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c6,854$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c4,575$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.233,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over51c4,500$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c4,020$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c2,999$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.762,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over53c2,844$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.7721143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under49c2,267$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11112454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c2,053$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,838$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.622,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under49c1,604$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,602$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.761,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,505$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c1,262$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74b…d765backed Under48c1,171$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5622832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under49c863.27$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42323850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Under32c743.91$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9110840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c728.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37167252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over71c677.16$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Under45c671.72$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over48c615.73$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under12c402$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.452,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under50c324$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under9c292.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under41c251.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f5…54d1backed Under50c250.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c217.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Under14c214.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1924634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over56c207.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.313,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over51c196.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9147349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under17c175.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under8c164.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4119232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c142$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Over52c138.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.556947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Under50c134.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3336643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce65…6759backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213441%55 W · 79 L-16.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c95.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under51c89.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6212752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c80.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7516547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over71c66.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2824846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over50c65.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.994320.9%9 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over65c64.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.891,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c58.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over59c56.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over49c55.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.316253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13c…6170backed Over48c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x213a…c46dbacked Over48c52.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.575754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over48c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9210034%34 W · 66 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under51c44.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8620149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c41.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c35.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over63c34.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…461ebacked Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3580…a621backed Over71c26.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.9wins-0.44per pick66cpaid-67.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under50c26.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2271245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4919748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136322.2%14 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under51c24.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5811546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.