NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b6d536c52b53e201f1c9f631ac73d82e1393c6bc03cde355fb91cf637f1720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 6,575$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.98 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,596$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 3,707$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Over | 47c | 3,149$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.94 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 998$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 495.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 56c | 462.79$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Under | 55c | 449.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 231$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over | 47c | 189.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 99.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 65.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Under | 54c | 62.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 62.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 43.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 40.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 44c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5this page
- Lakers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.