NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaab6c42854553865afe80db8b5d9402f6b9dcc66513e3b6fa5546c5994fbb3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 105,911$52,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,955.36 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 62,508$31,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,254.15 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 19,940$9,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,970 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,168$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,926$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.18 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 50c | 4,099$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.58 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 3,411$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 2,980$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 2,044$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 54c | 1,900$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.76 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 418.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.89 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 197.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Under | 48c | 163.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 52c | 152.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 55c | 141.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 47c | 92.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…3f63backed Over | 55c | 68.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 51c | 52.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 48.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…c541backed Under | 47c | 22.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5this page
- Lakers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.