NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677f940705f4b1f5f187c3cf33a040031d18db4eba354a8e4d9c76dc523ffb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,016,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 711,243$361,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349,691.11 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 49c | 300,000$147,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lakers | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 112,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Lakers | 50c | 97,612$49,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,082.25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 86,663$42,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,318.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lakers | 50c | 69,901$35,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,033.66 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 49c | 32,185$15,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,770.52 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 31,477$16,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,368.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 50c | 24,699$12,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,263.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Lakers | 51c | 24,137$12,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,309.77 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 22,783$11,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,619.29 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 50c | 20,500$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 49c | 20,040$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Lakers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lakers | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,988.78 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 50c | 10,027$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.43 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 8,218$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 37c | 4,763$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,546$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.23 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,406$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,221$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.48 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 49c | 4,186$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 4,162$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 50c | 3,927$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,577$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Lakers | 52c | 2,792$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.85 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,660$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.6 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,087$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.21 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,601$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,599$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.38 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…7a59backed Lakers | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 49c | 1,418$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Lakers | 32c | 1,323$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Lakers | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 999$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Lakers | 52c | 867.37$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.03 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 857$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.76 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 51c | 800$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.75 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Lakers | 51c | 755.84$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Lakers | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Lakers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Lakers | 49c | 509.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Lakers | 48c | 499.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 46c | 457.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 436.08$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Lakers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Lakers | 50c | 392.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Lakers | 48c | 386.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.54 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Lakers | 53c | 385.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Lakers | 51c | 354.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 43c | 350.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Lakers | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Lakers | 47c | 325.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Lakers | 52c | 276.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 244.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers | 52c | 241.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Lakers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 238.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 5c | 230.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 227.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Lakers | 48c | 209.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 207.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…0332backed Lakers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Lakers | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Lakers | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Lakers | 50c | 175.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Lakers | 51c | 168.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Lakers | 34c | 168.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Lakers | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 143$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Lakers | 50c | 142.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 141.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers | 52c | 130.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lakers | 31c | 127.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 124.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Lakers | 51c | 122.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)this page
- Lakers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.