NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d22f289d8807cb6f17523092c127f9e3bae5764ea36b2f3b5a31d2294293b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 1,522$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 748.48$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 588.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 58c | 208.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 38c | 200.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 37c | 200.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Under | 63c | 199.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 59c | 192.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 63c | 127.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 55c | 123.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…b6c7backed Over | 43c | 117.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 60c | 92.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 53.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 55c | 50.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 48.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 41c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- Lakers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.