Lol · resolved market
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021cea6dff381846ea2dd95de0fd3e466c7898ad4140d536a7faa9b9af388782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof Gen.G, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 5c | 26,731$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.12 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked G2 | 11c | 17,516$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed G2 | 3c | 15,321$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.35 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 | 11c | 14,130$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.27 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…d2cebacked G2 | 1c | 12,048$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed G2 | 3c | 10,098$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed G2 | 4c | 8,185$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.88 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 | 3c | 8,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…c9efbacked G2 | 2c | 6,404$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed G2 | 3c | 6,023$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 3c | 3,966$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 | 4c | 2,943$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked G2 | 12c | 2,202$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…c301backed G2 | 14c | 2,098$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked G2 | 15c | 1,437$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed G2 | 7c | 1,149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…40dcbacked G2 | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed G2 | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…5f52backed G2 | 3c | 703.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed G2 | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…9d3dbacked G2 | 18c | 689.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…0d2fbacked G2 | 5c | 682.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…a55fbacked G2 | 9c | 619.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed G2 | 12c | 599.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…fae1backed G2 | 4c | 569.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed G2 | 3c | 566.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed G2 | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked G2 | 14c | 456.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…43afbacked G2 | 4c | 423$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed G2 | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…f2d0backed G2 | 4c | 348.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Gen.G | 79c | 334.9$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked G2 | 4c | 307.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed G2 | 14c | 286.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked G2 | 17c | 147.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…4b39backed G2 | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…3b63backed G2 | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked G2 | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0df4backed G2 | 15c | 67.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.