TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cdb…529d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$19.24
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$32.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.92
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$46.94
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$49.94
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$74.66
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$93.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$79.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$47.78
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+113.6%+$12.19
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.36
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-5.5wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-77.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.33
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.18
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$169.42
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$19.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$38.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.9
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.02
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$186.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55.46
Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-81.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.85
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$33.76
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,024.21
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$148.2
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+157%+$54.51
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$19.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$15.53
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$30.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.