South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c95dc6e70f3ad60166f015afe0a768919f48ede9870df3a863cd257971f3fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 3,847$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.07 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 3,100$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 71c | 2,974$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.3 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,666$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.61 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 1,384$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 1,313$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 23c | 799.91$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.43 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 614.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.87 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 12c | 386.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 60c | 238.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 156.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 74c | 142.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 27c | 126.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed No | 72c | 67.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 41c | 60.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 69c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.