Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33dc4c5e3730e5f21edd495d1d10b949e3214eff15f7afa07a41baf173da22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Cobolli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Shelton | 65c | 3,031$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.24 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cobolli | 55c | 1,413$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.03 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cobolli | 45c | 1,076$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cobolli | 44c | 842.43$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…fb16backed Shelton | 57c | 454.92$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Shelton | 59c | 411.29$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Cobolli | 20c | 346$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Cobolli | 74c | 308.95$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shelton | 57c | 297.24$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Cobolli | 23c | 242.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Shelton | 50c | 194.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Shelton | 27c | 185$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Cobolli | 19c | 173$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Cobolli | 20c | 173$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 49c | 164.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shelton | 25c | 164.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…09afbacked Cobolli | 75c | 162.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Cobolli | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Shelton | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Cobolli | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Shelton | 51c | 95.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Cobolli | 25c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Cobolli | 25c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Cobolli | 25c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cobolli | 51c | 89.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Shelton | 55c | 87.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Shelton | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Cobolli | 60c | 81.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Shelton | 28c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Shelton | 51c | 69.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Cobolli | 73c | 59.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Cobolli | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Shelton | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Shelton | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Shelton | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Shelton | 27c | 39.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cobolli | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Cobolli | 50c | 38.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shelton | 61c | 32.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Cobolli | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cobolli | 67c | 16.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)this page
- BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton won
- Cobolli vs. Shelton: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Shelton: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs SheltonShelton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.