Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9db9c53aa110612848699b7df7daacd4b17fa63d008fdc06a561ddd8f195eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 3,376$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.62 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,395$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.75 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,344$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.51 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 1,462$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 754.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 55c | 599.83$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 46c | 476.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 397.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 46c | 390.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 378.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 321.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 48c | 297.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 52c | 297.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 293.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 288.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 46c | 240.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 225.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 177.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +653.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Over | 55c | 145.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 54c | 144.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 133.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 92.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 82.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 49c | 74.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 60.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Over | 49c | 59.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 53c | 55.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 55c | 41.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 48c | 41.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 38.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 27.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…dc58backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 53c | 26.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Over | 72c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 44c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 22.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 22.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 52c | 22.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Over | 55c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 72c | 16.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.