Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaab618ce52565831bf01d28fde76ccacd21cec177f0753164023069bcb4572d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AJ Auxerreof Olympique Lyonnais, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 14,024$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AJ Auxerre | 63c | 10,095$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.63 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AJ Auxerre | 65c | 3,838$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.09 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 55c | 2,258$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre | 65c | 1,560$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.73 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AJ Auxerre | 64c | 1,300$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AJ Auxerre | 55c | 1,243$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.36 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 19c | 889.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 747.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked AJ Auxerre | 65c | 723.4$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked AJ Auxerre | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed AJ Auxerre | 64c | 492.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 437.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd370…e78ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 211.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked AJ Auxerre | 56c | 188.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed AJ Auxerre | 66c | 178.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed AJ Auxerre | 65c | 173.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Olympique Lyonnais | 67c | 156.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AJ Auxerre | 66c | 138.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 132.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 53c | 125.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AJ Auxerre | 66c | 114.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Olympique Lyonnais | 43c | 109.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed AJ Auxerre | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed AJ Auxerre | 77c | 102.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 96.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…9891backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 82.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked AJ Auxerre | 61c | 78.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AJ Auxerre | 57c | 71.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 50c | 69.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 46c | 63.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 60.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 52.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 52.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8f40backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 46.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…f35dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed AJ Auxerre | 79c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked AJ Auxerre | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Olympique Lyonnais | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AJ Auxerre | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed AJ Auxerre | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed AJ Auxerre | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed AJ Auxerre | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 63c | 19.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.