Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03c2dbf19f9868ce75108a1b961a42d4337d5f761b650bcc165db48d2919705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Zverev, Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Fonseca | 68c | 5,795$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.06 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zverev | 36c | 3,242$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Zverev | 42c | 2,033$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.5 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zverev | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Fonseca | 66c | 1,318$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zverev | 32c | 657.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Fonseca | 66c | 595.28$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fonseca | 52c | 559.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Fonseca | 50c | 476.51$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Zverev | 34c | 367.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 34c | 361.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Zverev | 37c | 355$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Fonseca | 63c | 316.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Fonseca | 66c | 304.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 45 | 84.4%38 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Fonseca | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zverev | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Fonseca | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 52c | 242.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Fonseca | 15c | 234.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Zverev | 34c | 191.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Zverev | 42c | 169.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Fonseca | 65c | 151.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Zverev | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked Fonseca | 45c | 143.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fonseca | 36c | 117.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Zverev | 71c | 115.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fonseca | 58c | 111.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Fonseca | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Zverev | 35c | 98.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Fonseca | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Zverev | 50c | 77.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Zverev | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Zverev | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Zverev | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Zverev | 40c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Zverev | 40c | 58.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Fonseca | 60c | 48.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…cc98backed Fonseca | 57c | 48.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Fonseca | 28c | 47.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Fonseca | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Zverev | 66c | 41.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Fonseca | 62c | 40.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Zverev | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Fonseca | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Fonseca | 63c | 35.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Zverev | 73c | 32.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zverev | 80c | 32.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Fonseca | 71c | 31.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…4688backed Zverev | 40c | 31.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Fonseca | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Fonseca | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Fonseca | 67c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…da7fbacked Fonseca | 65c | 21.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 128 | 74.2%95 W · 33 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Zverev | 67c | 17.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)this page
- Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Fonseca vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Joao Fonseca vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.