F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27fbe58ec5a3b3a095871ad7a63beff842234baf8f2b394a320c2c60729d8ac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 31c | 3,086$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 69c | 2,903$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed No | 75c | 666.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 25c | 518.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 22c | 188.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 31c | 141.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 10c | 141.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 32c | 125.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 24c | 106.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes | 58c | 46.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bd…335ebacked No | 78c | 37.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.