F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c73ea3d703eddfe1426ca4730b3ce2ef6a2b9376af442f76c0404373b725b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,055$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 68c | 617.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 28c | 349.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d68…f0bebacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 73c | 192.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed No | 79c | 188.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…578fbacked Yes | 42c | 141.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…39f9backed No | 73c | 136.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 16c | 112.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 67c | 105.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes | 31c | 103.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…7937backed Yes | 19c | 102.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…c995backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…8862backed No | 69c | 55.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…78c2backed Yes | 38c | 34.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.