F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d268263c1ba00d1985b1b53bd4f09ef47a50508339aeeb43349edc564137d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 5,563$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.95 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 76c | 2,449$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.62 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…e387backed Yes | 22c | 921$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…d9b2backed Yes | 25c | 802.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 18c | 777.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 749.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 15c | 705.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 15c | 417.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…41d2backed No | 77c | 398.55$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 379.63$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 23c | 329.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 8c | 325.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 78c | 315.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 18c | 314.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 28c | 288.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Yes | 22c | 271.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 249.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 77c | 237$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…c24dbacked Yes | 13c | 235.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 16c | 213.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 202.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes | 15c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 31c | 191.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked No | 75c | 175.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 78c | 163.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 22c | 148.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Yes | 23c | 127.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 18c | 124.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 14c | 123.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…6b4fbacked Yes | 23c | 123.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 78c | 110.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 22c | 99.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 75c | 86.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 24c | 80.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…d61fbacked Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…1e09backed Yes | 22c | 55.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…aad9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 79c | 38.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 79c | 23.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 78c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.