F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ed1e67889d49e06ba2c88a31e42d3e34cae191ff9109f55135146e8f5e4d48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 57c | 9,815$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.06 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 42c | 6,271$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.79 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 44c | 3,050$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 31c | 2,730$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.41 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 1,318$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.51 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 53c | 739.4$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 32c | 682.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 31c | 584.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 53c | 555$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 50c | 510.75$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 50c | 462.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 26c | 457.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 62c | 324.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 56c | 310.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 50c | 239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed No | 44c | 225.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 45c | 211.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 54c | 183.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 51c | 182.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 53c | 158.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 32c | 157.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 60c | 154$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 34c | 122.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed No | 69c | 118.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…21dfbacked Yes | 31c | 110.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 30c | 103.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 55c | 96.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b785backed Yes | 55c | 91.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 46c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…3d39backed Yes | 57c | 87.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…0067backed Yes | 36c | 86.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 47c | 83.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…3d95backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…98c9backed Yes | 58c | 61.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed No | 43c | 58.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…f00ebacked Yes | 32c | 53.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +671.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed No | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 41c | 44.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…d641backed Yes | 58c | 39.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…3380backed Yes | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…a812backed Yes | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…63ccbacked No | 45c | 35.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf043…61d9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb505…92d3backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…0e50backed No | 45c | 27.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed Yes | 54c | 26.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…f780backed No | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…a589backed Yes | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…11cbbacked Yes | 57c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…c0e4backed Yes | 55c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.