F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b50049515343a28f6ddbb0b37d0742897e4bce16964dcec59e310e12cd8fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 55c | 1,491$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 80c | 1,472$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,220$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.32 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.54 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 815.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.91 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 43c | 618.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 70c | 551.59$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 21c | 542.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.76 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed No | 80c | 501.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 46c | 429.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…e06bbacked No | 80c | 394.2$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 24c | 338.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 23c | 310.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 30c | 263.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 27c | 226.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 222$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 30c | 203.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 76c | 187.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 52c | 182.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 179.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 25c | 168.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 19c | 141.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 127.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 80c | 119.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 106.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 43c | 93.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Yes | 24c | 81.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 77c | 81.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 30c | 80.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 79.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ba…97d0backed Yes | 74c | 73.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…98c9backed Yes | 22c | 66.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 25c | 56.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…81c3backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 25c | 45.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 80c | 40.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…1e09backed Yes | 48c | 33.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…21c1backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +671.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 65c | 21.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.