TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes43c5,097$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.7111547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes49c5,000$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.4712523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.965337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No62c994.05$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.5114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c983.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes28c900$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Yes55c828.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes22c812.36$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.33348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes37c768$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.671723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No22c610.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.411838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c563.38$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.957659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c549.38$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.112650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes43c532.28$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.411836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes29c490$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…6007backed Yes51c409.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No57c370.33$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.831936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c337.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.847545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes63c279.05$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2512646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No58c274.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.71250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed No66c270.97$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes30c270.43$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.432040%8 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c257.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.474353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203f…3ddebacked Yes68c245.01$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes29c242.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.846829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes26c241.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes72c234.73$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.091560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…01f3backed Yes55c202.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c189.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6320843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40c…b7ccbacked Yes28c175.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes59c170.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.122339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes22c169.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.681346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eca…3a06backed Yes49c164.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.883467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c164.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.346325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes70c142.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.722060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No73c134.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.539935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No74c120.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.211735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…4379backed Yes51c117.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes42c114.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Yes29c113.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.78728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…af4bbacked Yes26c110$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.22437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes45c109.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes47c109.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.362035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a77…6b9fbacked No75c106.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes56c102.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.822445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Yes63c102.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.561225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d82…da5abacked Yes34c100.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes25c97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.756827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c95.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.462556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No20c91.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No70c91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.72050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes28c88.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.095418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x459c…0b30backed Yes23c87.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.39728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No53c77.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No20c68.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4170%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes24c65.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.87950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ea…a131backed No57c62.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dd…af8bbacked No72c57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.042045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa285…3f7fbacked Yes45c55.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9da…5f42backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No43c55.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.762619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes68c53.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No75c52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd33c…40f1backed Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No52c48.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked No49c46.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a76…a671backed Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba5…8f77backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes43c38.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a72…5f5bbacked Yes45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807a…3be2backed No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes68c34.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.793633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Yes68c33.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0397…6f51backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Yes57c28.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc439…7388backed No43c26.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558b…e5aabacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2be…aae6backed Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No76c23.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b3…52debacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x322d…cbe2backed Yes63c15.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Yes66c15.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.292060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.