CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829c8748554938fca05e4eb5a61d3e9a33fda29b3e772ef240928eb796448924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Over | 40c | 782.86$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 74c | 729.35$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 60c | 468.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 21c | 431.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 37c | 245.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 225.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 44c | 174$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 63c | 150.89$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 61c | 150.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 44c | 112.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 88.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 38c | 83.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Under | 66c | 77.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f531backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 39c | 61.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 34c | 33.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 62c | 22.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.