CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223f9985e2e66a397f9cd28bae7093f56d37d8c3769d79568f30e7b5708f3da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FOKUS | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed MOUZ | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked FOKUS | 42c | 570$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed MOUZ | 58c | 570$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked MOUZ | 58c | 498.04$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FOKUS | 42c | 495.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FOKUS | 40c | 411.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed MOUZ | 60c | 238.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed FOKUS | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed MOUZ | 60c | 173.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 42c | 170.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS | 42c | 147.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 57c | 122.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed MOUZ | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.