TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS47c12,061$5,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.145,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked MOUZ54c10,000$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.996454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MOUZ55c8,433$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.5736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ53c7,047$3,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.1675758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ53c3,097$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.6748548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS47c1,687$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.382,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ52c1,535$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.0237946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FOKUS47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.991,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FOKUS46c1,214$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.262,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed MOUZ53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.177751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FOKUS46c1,012$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.541,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed MOUZ53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.413545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FOKUS40c910.42$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.811,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FOKUS46c864.49$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6727753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS39c805$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.81,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ54c775.13$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3148845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FOKUS47c629.59$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8159055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed MOUZ53c600.63$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.313360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MOUZ55c565.39$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed MOUZ63c520.22$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.633256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed MOUZ52c500.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4611849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23539548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FOKUS46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed FOKUS48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed FOKUS48c410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.838052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed FOKUS41c339.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13921550.2%108 W · 107 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed FOKUS37c308.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3425848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed FOKUS47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9955441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FOKUS47c293.81$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4144747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FOKUS47c285.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0698248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked MOUZ53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.423956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FOKUS48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FOKUS48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044944.8%201 W · 248 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed FOKUS48c207.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.716761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked FOKUS46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.436344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed FOKUS46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4314356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed FOKUS41c180.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.85244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked FOKUS48c168.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1219457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed FOKUS50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7551446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked FOKUS37c140.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked FOKUS44c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.420045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked MOUZ53c126.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4249651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked MOUZ77c125$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.756159%36 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…e430backed MOUZ53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed FOKUS47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4785351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed MOUZ53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4747065.1%306 W · 164 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked FOKUS47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked FOKUS49c99.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5410151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed MOUZ53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3444654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed FOKUS46c93.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3111540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed FOKUS36c83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.168159.3%48 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked FOKUS48c80.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed FOKUS48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed FOKUS40c71.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked MOUZ54c71.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8519151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked MOUZ55c63.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.588662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed MOUZ53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2619146.6%89 W · 102 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e80fbacked FOKUS47c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.561822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS40c57.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.852,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked MOUZ53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.627954.5%152 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc545…3e4cbacked MOUZ53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked FOKUS43c54.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5622447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed MOUZ56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.576654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed MOUZ65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7719449%95 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed FOKUS50c49.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed FOKUS50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed MOUZ59c43.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7512751.2%65 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed FOKUS48c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.648153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed FOKUS46c41.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.145137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked MOUZ53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ62c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS48c39.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.832,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked FOKUS46c38.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked MOUZ53c38.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea6a…f194backed MOUZ53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7418643.5%81 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ba…4b8abacked MOUZ53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed FOKUS47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622460.7%136 W · 88 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked MOUZ55c32.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.814769.4%102 W · 45 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed FOKUS48c31.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2260753.9%327 W · 280 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed MOUZ67c31.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.379335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FOKUS44c29.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.968059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked FOKUS41c29.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0530339.3%119 W · 184 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed MOUZ53c28.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5210254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed FOKUS41c24.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1830639.5%121 W · 185 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a8…5aedbacked MOUZ53c24.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed FOKUS50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed FOKUS48c23.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed MOUZ55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed MOUZ53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6413754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed FOKUS46c21.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.038737.9%33 W · 54 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…7b28backed FOKUS48c21.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.